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Bettors and modelers

A decade of three-way lines next to the results

Home, draw and away moneylines, goal handicaps and totals by sportsbook from 2017-18, joined to the result, our Elo and xG.

Soccer odds history is scattered, rarely names the book, and does not come with the match attached.

A backtest needs the price you could have taken and what happened after, in one row.

What to build

Closing-line backtests

Pull a day's lines by book, with each match's result and whether the total went over, and test a rule against the price you would have got.

Model against the market

Compare our Elo and xG with the no-margin probabilities each book's three prices imply.

Movement before kick-off

Daily snapshots of each posted line show where the market moved before a match.

What it will not do

  • Before 2024 each book has one final pre-match line, stored as the close; there is no opening line then.
  • About ten books per match only from 2021-22 to 2023-24; two in 2017-18 and 2018-19, six to eight in 2019-20 and 2020-21, one or two since.
  • No player props or in-play prices.

Worth reading first

Start with 500 free credits

No card. REST or MCP.